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Home › Italy › Serie A › Juventus — Atalanta

Predictions by Market: Juventus vs Atalanta

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 16:00
2:0
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
W W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JUV
54%
Best 1.76
Draw
23%
Best 3.96
Away Win · ATA
23%
Best 5.13
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.19
Fair odds
3.73
book 4.19 · +12.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +12.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (73%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.5%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.19
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 70.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.3%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
JUV – ATA @ 4.19
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →