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Home › Italy › Serie A › Fiorentina — Napoli

Predictions by Market: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 10:30
1:1
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
L L W D W Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FIO
31%
Best 3.35
Draw
27%
Best 3.52
Away Win · NAP
42%
Best 2.31
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.90
book 2.00 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +5.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 46%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
FIO – NAP @ 2.00
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →