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Home › Italy › Serie A › Venezia — Lazio

Venezia vs Lazio 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Venezia
Venezia
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 18:45
0:2
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
W W D W W Away · last 5
Referee S. Sozza
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.15 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 1.72 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.05 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.88 – 1.60
Δ +0.28
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.15 — +9.1% better than the market.

Venezia faces a tough challenge against a confident Lazio side showing strong recent form. Venezia’s struggles at home contrast with Lazio’s momentum, suggesting the visitors hold a pressing edge. Expect a tactical battle where Lazio’s ability to exploit defensive gaps could be decisive.

  • Venezia’s poor form limits home momentum
  • Lazio’s recent wins boost confidence and attacking threat
  • Balanced pace hinted by even goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.15 ✓ Cashed
AI 51% Implied 47% +1.15u
+115%
ROI on stake

Lineups

VEN 3-5-2 · LAZ 4-3-3
VEN · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · LAZ 1 Stanković 3 Schingtienne 15 Jesus 2 Moreno 18 Hainaut 71 Pérez 19 Sohm 21 Helgason 14 Correia 10 Yeboah ⚽ 45 Adams 35 Mandas 15 Mussolini 37 Šutalo 25 Provstgaard 17 Tavares 16 Frattesi 21 Belahyane 24 Taylor 22 Cancellieri 14 Noslin ⚽ 10 Zaccagni ⚽
Subs used · VEN
73' Rrahmani ↑ · Adams ↓
73' Fanne ↑ · J. Helgason ↓
76' Sagrado ↑ · Correia ↓
87' Fernandez ↑ · Yeboah ↓
Subs used · LAZ
77' Gudmundsson ↑ · Taylor ↓
77' Pinamonti ↑ · Noslin ↓
77' Lazzari ↑ · Floriani ↓
84' Pedraza ↑ · Tavares ↓
87' Isaksen ↑ · Zaccagni ↓

Statistics

VEN 0 – 2 LAZ
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.60
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
6
10
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
8
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
6
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

18 · 0 – 2
J. Yeboah (P)
Penalty · Assist · J. Yeboah · 1–0
⚽
17'
K. Perez
Yellow Card
▮
29'
Half-time · 1 – 0
51'
⚽
M. Zaccagni (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Juan Jesus
Yellow Card
▮
59'
60'
⚽
T. Noslin
Assist · N. Tavares · 1–2
A. Rrahmani ↓ · A. Adams ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
73'
L. Fanne ↓ · T. J. Helgason ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
T. Correia
Yellow Card
▮
74'
R. Sagrado ↓ · T. Correia ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
77'
⇄
A. Gudmundsson ↓ · K. Taylor ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
A. Pinamonti ↓ · T. Noslin ↑
Substitution 2
77'
⇄
M. Lazzari ↓ · R. Floriani ↑
Substitution 3
84'
⇄
A. Pedraza ↓ · N. Tavares ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
G. Isaksen ↓ · M. Zaccagni ↑
Substitution 5
T. Fernandez ↓ · J. Yeboah ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
T. Fernandez
Yellow Card
▮
90'
J. Schingtienne
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
M. Moreno
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Lazio won 2–0 away at Venezia. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Zaccagni (51'), T. Noslin (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.23 units (Brier 0.152).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.15 2.15 51% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.72 1.80 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 2.23 46% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.73 1.73 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.72 1.61 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.08 2.02 44% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.88 2.60 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.30 1.29 71% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 2.70 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.55 1.52 44% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Home Win 3.45 3.60 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 1.44 72% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 4.33 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 91% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 1.20 73% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Draw 3.35 3.55 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 12.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.23u −25% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
VEN – LAZ @ 2.15
+9.1%
Edge
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