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Home › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Inter

AS Roma vs Inter 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:00
2:2
Full-time
Inter
Inter
W W W D W Away · last 5
Referee D. Massa
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.69 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.73 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 38% · book 2.53 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.69 – 2.37
Δ −0.68
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.45 — +7.3% better than the market.

AS Roma and Inter both arrive on strong form, but Roma's perfect recent points haul suggests home momentum could be key. The match hints at an open, attacking duel given the high expected goals for both sides and the market favoring over 2.5 goals. Roma’s home edge in pressing and Inter’s clinical finishing set the stage for a lively encounter.

  • Roma’s home confidence and pressing intensity
  • Inter’s sharp attack against a resilient defense
  • Likely fast tempo with goal-scoring chances on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.45 ✓ Cashed
AI 74% Implied 69% +0.45u
+45%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · INT 3-5-2
ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · INT 99 Svilar 23 Mancini 5 Ndicka 22 Hermoso 20 Molina 4 Cristante 17 Koné ⚽ 43 Wesley 21 Dybala 18 Soulé 14 Malen 1 Martínez 31 Bisseck 25 Akanji 95 Bastoni 17 Diouf 23 Barella 7 Zieliński 21 Jones 32 Dimarco 9 Thuram 10 Martínez ⚽
Subs used · ROM
60' Ndicka ↑ · Mancini ↓
60' Pisilli ↑ · Kone ↓
60' Rensch ↑ · Molina ↓
66' Ghilardi ↑ · Balerdi ↓
81' Koulierakis ↑ · Hermoso ↓
Subs used · INT
54' Sucic ↑ · Jones ↓
54' Augusto ↑ · Dimarco ↓
63' Henrique ↑ · Bastoni ↓
90' Bonny ↑ · Thuram ↓
90' Esposito ↑ · Martinez ↓

Statistics

ROM 2 – 2 INT
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.69
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.37
18
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
8
12
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 2 – 2
M. Kone
Assist · N. Molina · 1–0
⚽
6'
11'
▮
N. Barella
Yellow Card
M. Kone
Assist · G. Mancini · 2–0
⚽
37'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⚽
L. Martinez
Assist · M. Thuram · 2–1
45+4'
▮
M. Akanji
Yellow Card
54'
⇄
P. Sucic ↓ · C. Jones ↑
Substitution 1
54'
⇄
Carlos Augusto ↓ · F. Dimarco ↑
Substitution 2
57'
▮
A. Bastoni
Yellow Card
E. Ndicka ↓ · G. Mancini ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
N. Pisilli ↓ · M. Kone ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
D. Rensch ↓ · N. Molina ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
60'
63'
⇄
Luis Henrique ↓ · A. Bastoni ↑
Substitution 3
D. Ghilardi ↓ · L. Balerdi ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
66'
E. Ndicka
Yellow Card
▮
73'
79'
⚽
L. Martinez
Assist · Y. Bisseck · 2–2
K. Koulierakis ↓ · M. Hermoso ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
K. Koulierakis
Yellow Card
▮
82'
D. Ghilardi
Yellow Card
▮
89'
90'
⇄
A. Bonny ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⇄
F. Esposito ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

AS Roma and Inter drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.37 to 1.69. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Kone (6'), M. Kone (37'), L. Martinez (46'), L. Martinez (79').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.48 units (Brier 0.155).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.69 2.50 48% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.73 1.65 67% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Home Win 2.53 2.66 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.63 2.62 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.93 1.97 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.97 1.93 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 2.25 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 2.50 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.45 1.50 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.47 1.47 64% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 1.44 62% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 1.20 88% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.43 1.53 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.47 3.40 26% Cashed +2.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.19 4.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −1.48u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ROM – INT @ 1.45
+7.3%
Edge
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