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Home › Italy › Serie A › Torino — AS Roma

Torino vs AS Roma 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Torino
Torino
Home · last 5 L L W L D
Kick-off
Mon 14 Sep · 16:30
0:2
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W D D Away · last 5
Referee F. Maresca
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.81 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.80 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 44% · book 2.30 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.76 – 1.91
Δ −1.15
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 5.63 — +10.7% better than the market.

AS Roma arrives with strong momentum, boasting a winning streak contrasting Torino's recent struggles. Roma's attacking prowess and higher scoring rate suggest they hold the upper hand, especially given Torino's defensive vulnerabilities. The match hints at an open tempo, with both sides likely to create chances, making goals probable.

  • Roma's form edge and scoring consistency
  • Torino's defensive lapses at home
  • Potential for an open, attacking game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 5.63 ✗ Lost
AI 20% Implied 18% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TOR 5-3-2 · ROM 3-4-2-1
Subs used · TOR
46' Cacciamani ↑ · Belghali ↓
46' Braganca ↑ · Gineitis ↓
59' Ilkhan ↑ · Fitz-Jim ↓
73' Rodriguez ↑ · Fortini ↓
83' Zapata ↑ · Mandragora ↓
Subs used · ROM
57' Mora ↑ · Soule ↓
57' Castro ↑ · Malen ↓
64' Kone ↑ · Cristante ↓
64' De Roon ↑ · Dybala ↓
88' Rensch ↑ · Lulli ↓

Statistics

TOR 0 – 2 ROM
53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.91
7
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
8
3
Shots Inside Box
12
1
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
20
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
0
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 0 – 2
40'
⚽
D. Malen
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
A. Cacciamani ↓ · R. Belghali ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
D. Braganca ↓ · G. Gineitis ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
57'
⇄
R. Mora ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 1
57'
⇄
S. Castro ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 2
E. Ilkhan ↓ · K. Fitz-Jim ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
59'
61'
▮
M. Hermoso
Yellow Card
64'
⇄
M. Kone ↓ · B. Cristante ↑
Substitution 3
64'
⇄
M. De Roon ↓ · P. Dybala ↑
Substitution 4
72'
▮
N. Pisilli
Yellow Card
R. Rodriguez ↓ · N. Fortini ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
D. Zapata ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
88'
⇄
D. Rensch ↓ · E. Lulli ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
⚽
N. Pisilli
0–2
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

AS Roma won 2–0 away at Torino. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.76. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 1.

On the scoresheet: D. Malen (40'), N. Pisilli (90+3').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.53 units (Brier 0.158).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.81 1.81 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 1.73 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.30 2.39 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 1.95 42% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 2.15 36% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 2.73 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.63 6.25 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 86% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.15 1.14 80% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Away Win 1.59 1.53 56% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.85 4.22 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.33 4.55 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 1.44 55% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.19 1.18 56% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 4.33 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 12.99 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.53u −33% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
TOR – ROM @ 5.63
+10.7%
Edge
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