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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Cagliari

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Cagliari

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
L W W W D Away · last 5
Referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
53%
Best 1.75
Draw
24%
Best 3.86
Away Win · CAG
20%
Best 5.41
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.91 · +14.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +14.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 40%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 17.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 37.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ATA – CAG @ 1.91
+14.6%
Edge
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