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Home › Italy › Serie A › Sassuolo — Juventus

Sassuolo vs Juventus 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 W D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 18:45
3:2
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
W W D L W Away · last 5
Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 48% · book 2.30 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.88 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.00
Δ −0.12
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.30 — +10.1% better than the market.

Sassuolo shows signs of home momentum with a solid recent points rate, contrasting with Juventus' slightly lower current form despite stronger pre-match expectations. The tactical battle may hinge on Sassuolo's resilience and Juventus' attacking threat, as both sides have shown goal-scoring potential. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, leaning towards an open contest.

  • Sassuolo's home form suggests compact defending and opportunistic attacks.
  • Juventus carries a pressing edge and higher expected goals pre-match.
  • Recent draws and wins hint at a balanced matchup with goal involvement likely.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.30 ✓ Cashed
AI 48% Implied 43% +1.30u
+130%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · JUV 4-2-3-1
SAS · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · JUV 49 Murić 46 Cinquegrano 21 Idzes 16 Leysen 3 Doig 42 Thorstvedt 18 Matić 35 Lipani 10 Berardi 94 Esposito ⚽ 45 Laurienté 25 Vicario 15 Kalulu 3 Bremer 26 Lucumí 2 Çelik 12 Luiz 8 Koopmeiners 7 Conceição 31 González 17 Alajbegović 9 Muani
Subs used · SAS
55' Bakola ↑ · Lipani ↓
71' Dominguez ↑ · Esposito ↓
71' Bowie ↑ · Berardi ↓
71' Adzic ↑ · Thorstvedt ↓
81' Caleta-Car ↑ · Idzes ↓
Subs used · JUV
46' Kelly ↑ · Lucumi ↓
60' Zhegrova ↑ · Conceicao ↓
60' Woltemade ↑ · Gonzalez ↓
71' M. Sarr ↑ · Koopmeiners ↓
87' Oboavwoduo ↑ · Alajbegovic ↓

Statistics

SAS 3 – 2 JUV
45%
Possession (%)
55%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.00
10
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Target
8
3
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
13
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 3 – 2
20'
▮
J. Lucumi
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
L. Kelly ↓ · J. Lucumi ↑
Substitution 1
L. Lipani
Yellow Card
▮
48'
D. Bakola ↓ · L. Lipani ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
55'
60'
⇄
E. Zhegrova ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
N. Woltemade ↓ · N. Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 3
S. Esposito
Assist · N. Matic · 1–0
⚽
65'
B. Dominguez ↓ · S. Esposito ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
71'
K. Bowie ↓ · D. Berardi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
V. Adzic ↓ · K. Thorstvedt ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
71'
⇄
P. M. Sarr ↓ · T. Koopmeiners ↑
Substitution 4
76'
▮
Douglas Luiz
Yellow Card
D. Caleta-Car ↓ · J. Idzes ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
81'
82'
⚽
E. Zhegrova
1–1
87'
⇄
J. Oboavwoduo ↓ · K. Alajbegovic ↑
Substitution 5
K. Bowie
Assist · D. Bakola · 2–1
⚽
89'
90+1'
⚽
E. Zhegrova
Assist · R. Kolo Muani · 2–2
F. Leysen
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
V. Adzic
Assist · A. Lauriente · 3–2
⚽
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Sassuolo beat Juventus 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.88 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Esposito (65'), E. Zhegrova (82'), K. Bowie (89'), E. Zhegrova (90+1'), V. Adzic (90+4').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +4.92 units (Brier 0.287).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.30 2.23 48% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.88 1.77 56% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 1.80 57% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 2.10 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 1.98 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.05 2.88 35% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Home Win 5.50 5.38 24% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.15 1.17 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.59 1.62 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.15 3.91 24% Cashed +3.15 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 1.23 79% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 3.90 3.91 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.38 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.84 4.00 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.20 1.23 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +4.92u +33% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
SAS – JUV @ 2.30
+10.1%
Edge
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