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Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Frosinone

Predictions by Market: Genoa vs Frosinone

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Frosinone
Frosinone
W W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Antonio Rapuano, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
43%
Best 2.34
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · FRO
30%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.68
Fair odds
3.30
book 3.68 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (43%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.7%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.5%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – FRO @ 3.68
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →