P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Cagliari — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Cagliari vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cagliari
Cagliari
Home · last 5 L W W W D
Kick-off
Mon 07 Sep · 16:30
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
L L W L L Away · last 5
Unipol Domus · Cagliari Referee J. L. Sacchi

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CAG
40%
Best 2.14
Draw
28%
Best 3.31
Away Win · LEC
31%
Best 4.07
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.47
Fair odds
2.17
book 2.47 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (57%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.4%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.6%
Odds 4.83
Show model details
Implied probability 20.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
CAG – LEC @ 2.47
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →