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Home › Italy › Serie A › Juventus — AC Milan

Juventus vs AC Milan 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
W D D W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Mariani
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 2.10 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 61% · book 1.83 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 56% · book 1.70 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.83 — +11.8% better than the market.

Juventus hosts AC Milan in a Serie A clash where both sides show strong recent form, each unbeaten in their last two. Juventus holds a slight home momentum edge with perfect points from recent matches, while Milan's resilience and tactical discipline keep them competitive. The matchup hints at a balanced contest with a moderate pace, as reflected by the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking intent from both sides.

  • Juventus' home confidence and pressing edge
  • Milan's compact defensive block and counter threat
  • Balanced recent form and goal-scoring potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.83 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 55% +0.83u
+83%
ROI on stake

Lineups

JUV 4-2-3-1 · MIL 3-4-2-1
JUV · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · MIL 25 Vicario 15 Kalulu 3 Bremer 26 Lucumí 2 Çelik 5 Locatelli 12 Luiz 7 Conceição 31 González 17 Alajbegović 9 Kolo Muani 16 Maignan 34 Gila 5 De Winter 31 Pavlović 80 Musah 14 Modrić 12 Rabiot 2 Estupiñán 56 Saelemaekers 22 Moreira 9 Ramos
Subs used · JUV
64' Boga ↑ · Alajbegovic ↓
64' Koopmeiners ↑ · Gonzalez ↓
76' Woltemade ↑ · Soares ↓
88' Zhegrova ↑ · Conceicao ↓
88' Gatti ↑ · Çelik ↓
Subs used · MIL
61' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Saelemaekers ↓
61' Cissè ↑ · Moreira ↓
61' Chukwueze ↑ · Rabiot ↓
82' Jashari ↑ · Modrić ↓
88' Terracciano ↑ · Gila ↓

Statistics

JUV 1 – 1 MIL
49%
Possession (%)
51%
14
Total Shots
3
5
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
1
6
Shots Inside Box
1
7
Corner Kicks
1
5
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
61'
⇄
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↓ · Alexis Saelemaekers ↑
Substitution 1
61'
⇄
Alphadjo Cissè ↓ · Diego Moreira ↑
Substitution 2
61'
⇄
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ · Adrien Rabiot ↑
Substitution 3
Jérémie Boga ↓ · Kerim Alajbegovic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
Teun Koopmeiners ↓ · Nicolás Iván Gonzalez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
68'
⚽
Alphadjo Cissè
Assist · Samuel Chukwueze · 0–1
Nick Woltemade ↓ · Douglas Luiz Soares ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
79'
▮
Pervis Estupinan
Yellow Card
82'
⇄
Ardon Jashari ↓ · Luka Modrić ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
Filippo Terracciano ↓ · Mario Gila ↑
Substitution 5
Edon Zhegrova ↓ · Francisco Conceicao ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
Federico Gatti ↓ · Zeki Çelik ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
90+2'
▮
Koni De Winter
Yellow Card
Federico Gatti
Assist · Teun Koopmeiners · 1–1
⚽
90+2'
Federico Gatti
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
90+6'
▮
Alphadjo Cissè
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Juventus and AC Milan drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 3, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alphadjo Cissè (68'), Federico Gatti (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.68 units (Brier 0.156).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.10 2.10 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 1.83 61% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.70 1.69 56% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Home Win 2.13 2.12 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 1.73 43% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 1.91 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.51 2.58 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.84 3.75 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 1.33 79% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 1.27 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 3.15 3.25 28% Cashed +2.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.55 1.54 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.13 3.19 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.50 3.75 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.06 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.24 1.25 64% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 8.40 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.68u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
JUV – MIL @ 1.83
+11.8%
Edge
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