P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Monza

Predictions by Market: Parma vs Monza

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 L D L W L
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Monza
Monza
L D L W L Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee F. La Penna

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
35%
Best 2.91
Draw
29%
Best 3.08
Away Win · MON
34%
Best 3.00
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.15
Fair odds
2.98
book 3.15 · +5.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +5.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (35%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.7%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.7%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAR – MON @ 3.15
+5.6%
Edge
Forecast →