Parma vs Monza 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.15 — +5.6% better than the market.

Parma and Monza both enter this Serie A clash struggling for form, with neither side having secured a recent win. Parma’s home momentum is limited, but Monza’s slightly better recent points per game hints at a modest edge. Expect a cautious encounter with a compact defensive setup from both sides, likely leading to a low-scoring game.

Both teams show defensive resilience but lack attacking sharpness.
Monza’s away approach may focus on counter-attacks.
Odds suggest a tight match with under 2.5 goals probable.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.15 ✗ Lost

AI 34% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 3-5-2

PAR · 3-5-2

19 Touré

Subs used · PAR

45'

Valenti ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

45'

Sierro ↑ ·

Ordóñez ↓

45'

Frigan ↑ ·

Fabbian ↓

55'

Lontani ↑ ·

Romero ↓

77'

Almqvist ↑ ·

Britschgi ↓

Subs used · MON

54'

Colpani ↑ ·

Forson ↓

62'

Colombo ↑ ·

Mota ↓

81'

Bakoune ↑ ·

Kouadio ↓

81'

Mout ↑ ·

Robinson ↓

81'

Maye ↑ ·

Carboni ↓

Statistics

PAR 1 – 1 MON

46%

Possession (%)

54%

7

Total Shots

16

3

Shots on Target

5

2

Shots off Target

9

7

Shots Inside Box

13

6

Corner Kicks

3

0

Offsides

4

16

Fouls

16

2

Yellow Cards

2

4

Goalkeeper Saves

2

Match events

16 · 1 – 1

38'

⚽

Jay Robinson

Assist · Ricardo Mangas · 0–1

41'

▮

Michael Folorunsho

Yellow Card

Lautaro Valenti ↓ · Diego Carlos ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45'

Vincent Sierro ↓ · Christian Ordóñez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

45'

Matija Frigan ↓ · Giovanni Fabbian ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

45'

Half-time · 0 – 1

54'

⇄

Andrea Colpani ↓ · Omari Forson ↑

Substitution 1

Simone Lontani ↓ · José David Romero ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

55'

Simone Lontani

1–1

⚽

60'

62'

⇄

Leonardo Colombo ↓ · Dany Mota ↑

Substitution 2

Mandela Keita

Yellow Card

▮

66'

68'

▮

Leonardo Colombo

Yellow Card

Pontus Almqvist ↓ · Sascha Britschgi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

81'

⇄

Adam Bakoune ↓ · Eddy Kouadio ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

Mathis Mout ↓ · Jay Robinson ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

Yvan Maye ↓ · Andrea Carboni ↑

Substitution 5

Pontus Almqvist

Yellow Card

▮

83'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Parma and Monza drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Jay Robinson (38'), Simone Lontani (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.80 units (Brier 0.149).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.80	1.88	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.62	1.62	62%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.73	2.90	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.73	2.72	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.30	2.30	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	1.86	44%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.95	1.95	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.94	1.94	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.15	2.83	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.55	1.44	62%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.40	66%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	1.40	64%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Draw	3.05	3.00	29%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.20	1.21	81%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	7.52	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.33	4.33	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.80u	−22% ROI

Parma vs Monza 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled