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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Napoli

Predictions by Market: Inter vs Napoli

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 16:00
3:2
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
L L W D W Away · last 5
Referee S. Sozza

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · INT
54%
Best 1.73
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · NAP
21%
Best 5.54
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.13
Fair odds
4.80
book 5.13 · +6.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +6.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (54%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.9%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28%
Odds 3.26
Show model details
Implied probability 30.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.8%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.9%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
INT – NAP @ 5.13
+6.9%
Edge
Forecast →