P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Fiorentina — Torino

Predictions by Market: Fiorentina vs Torino

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
Torino
Torino
L L W L D Away · last 5
Referee D. Massa

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FIO
46%
Best 2.11
Draw
27%
Best 3.42
Away Win · TOR
27%
Best 4.33
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.68
book 4.20 · +14.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +14.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.2%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FIO – TOR @ 4.20
+14.2%
Edge
Forecast →