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Fiorentina vs Torino 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
Torino
Torino
L L W L D Away · last 5
Referee D. Massa
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.88 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 1.94 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.20 — +14.2% better than the market.

Fiorentina and Torino both enter this Serie A clash with recent struggles, showing little momentum from their last outings. Torino’s slightly better form and away resilience could challenge Fiorentina’s home efforts, though both sides have shown a tendency for tight, low-scoring matches historically. Expect a cautious pace with a compact defensive setup from both teams, making goals harder to come by despite some attacking intent.

  • Torino’s away steadiness may offset Fiorentina’s home pressure
  • Both teams’ recent form suggests defensive caution
  • Historical draws and low-scoring games hint at a tactical stalemate

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.20 ✓ Cashed
AI 27% Implied 24% +3.20u
+320%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FIO 4-3-3 · TOR 3-5-2
Subs used · FIO
24' Ndour ↑ · Oulaï ↓
45' Gnonto ↑ · Mastantuono ↓
45' Atta ↑ · Brescianini ↓
76' Beto ↑ · Pellegrino ↓
79' Goncalves ↑ · Njie ↓
Subs used · TOR
40' Ismajli ↑ · Coco ↓
56' Patterson ↑ · Fortini ↓
56' Belghali ↑ · Cacciamani ↓
70' Simeone ↑ · Gineitis ↓
70' Bragança ↑ · Comuzzo ↓

Statistics

FIO 1 – 2 TOR
40%
Possession (%)
60%
14
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
3
3
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
9
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 1 – 2
Cher Ndour ↓ · Christ Inao Oulaï ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
24'
40'
⇄
Ardian Ismajli ↓ · Saúl Coco ↑
Substitution 1
Wilfried Gnonto ↓ · Franco Mastantuono ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
45'
Arthur Atta ↓ · Marco Brescianini ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
45'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Mateo Pellegrino
Assist · Radu Drăguşin · 1–0
⚽
47'
56'
⇄
Nathan Patterson ↓ · Niccolo Fortini ↑
Substitution 2
56'
⇄
Rafik Belghali ↓ · Alessio Cacciamani ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
Giovanni Simeone ↓ · Gvidas Gineitis ↑
Substitution 4
70'
⇄
Daniel Bragança ↓ · Pietro Comuzzo ↑
Substitution 5
74'
⚽
Rolando Mandragora
Assist · Eray Cömert · 1–1
Beto ↓ · Mateo Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
Pedro Goncalves ↓ · Alieu Njie ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
82'
⚽
Che Adams
Assist · Rafik Belghali · 1–2
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Torino won 2–1 away at Fiorentina. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: Mateo Pellegrino (47'), Rolando Mandragora (74'), Che Adams (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.19 units (Brier 0.209).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.10 2.00 50% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.88 1.80 54% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.94 1.78 52% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Home Win 1.91 1.95 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.96 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 1.91 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.20 4.33 27% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 3.19 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 1.23 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.10 3.44 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.35 1.28 74% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.06 92% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.45 3.21 27% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Draw 3.30 3.34 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 1.30 72% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.34 1.38 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.19u +1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
FIO – TOR @ 4.20
+14.2%
Edge
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