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Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Como

Predictions by Market: Genoa vs Como

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 18:45
1:4
Full-time
Como
Como
W W W L D Away · last 5
Referee M. Guida

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
23%
Best 5.94
Draw
27%
Best 3.72
Away Win · COM
50%
Best 1.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.00
book 3.40 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (67%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 59.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 40.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
GEN – COM @ 3.40
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →