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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — Bologna

Predictions Atalanta vs Bologna August 31, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Bologna
Bologna
L Away · last 5
Home Win · ATA
50%
Best 1.92
Draw
25%
Best 3.80
Away Win · BOL
25%
Best 4.30
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.98
book 4.00 · +0.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 25% · EV +0.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (50%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.00
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Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 77%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23%
Odds 3.84
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Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 72.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
ATA – BOL @ 4.00
+0.5%
Edge
Forecast →