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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Bologna

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Bologna

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D L D W Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
50%
Best 1.97
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · BOL
25%
Best 4.22
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.98
book 4.00 · +0.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 25% · EV +0.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (50%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 77%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 72.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
ATA – BOL @ 4.00
+0.5%
Edge
Forecast →