🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 58% probability.
Also rated highly: AS Roma to win 57%, both teams to score 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
AS Roma arrives with strong momentum, having won their last match and showing a solid points-per-game form. Lecce, also fresh off a win, will rely on their home advantage, but Roma's consistent attacking threat and experience in Serie A could tip the balance. The match hints at a lively tempo with over 2.5 goals likely, suggesting open play and goal-scoring opportunities.
- Roma's offensive edge against Lecce's defense
- Home momentum for Lecce
- Potential for multiple goals given recent form and odds
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 57% | AS Roma win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 58% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 55% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 81% | X2 |
- 1X2 AS Roma win 57%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
- BTTS Yes 55%
- Double Chance X2 81%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 5.21 ↑ 6.62 (+27%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lecce
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
8 / 4
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.37 / 1.86
AS Roma
W/D/L
5-0-0
Goals (for / against)
15 / 2
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.41 / 0.53
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Lecce wins when scoring first
100%
①
AS Roma wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Lecce BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
AS Roma BTTS rate · last 10
30%
↑
Lecce Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
AS Roma Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Lecce comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
AS Roma comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Lecce · last 10 at home
0–15
43%
16–30
14%
31–45
14%
46–60
0%
61–75
14%
76–90
14%
AS Roma · last 10 away
0–15
22%
16–30
11%
31–45
11%
46–60
17%
61–75
22%
76–90
17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
