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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — AS Roma

Lecce vs AS Roma 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 L L W L L
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 16:30
0:4
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W D D Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Chiffi, Italy
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 2.18 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 43% · book 2.45 ✗
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
0.74 – 3.35
Δ −2.61
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 1.5 at 1.35 — +8.3% better than the market.

AS Roma arrives with strong momentum, having won their last match and showing a solid points-per-game form. Lecce, also fresh off a win, will rely on their home advantage, but Roma's consistent attacking threat and experience in Serie A could tip the balance. The match hints at a lively tempo with over 2.5 goals likely, suggesting open play and goal-scoring opportunities.

  • Roma's offensive edge against Lecce's defense
  • Home momentum for Lecce
  • Potential for multiple goals given recent form and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 1.5
Over 1.5 @ 1.35 ✓ Cashed
AI 81% Implied 74% +0.35u
+35%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 3-5-2 · ROM 3-4-2-1
LEC · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · ROM 30 Falcone 44 Gabriel 5 Siebert 4 Gaspar 17 Veiga 29 Coulibaly 79 Ngom 28 Gorter 3 Ndaba 50 Pierotti 69 Geubbels 99 Svilar 23 Mancini 5 Ndicka 22 Hermoso 77 Lulli 4 Cristante 17 Koné 43 Wesley 18 Soulé ⚽ 21 Dybala 14 Malen ⚽
Subs used · LEC
46' Ndri ↑ · Gabriel ↓
46' Maleh ↑ · Gorter ↓
54' Stulic ↑ · Geubbels ↓
72' Fatah ↑ · Pierotti ↓
72' Ilic ↑ · Ngom ↓
Subs used · ROM
60' Molina ↑ · Franca ↓
60' Mora ↑ · Soule ↓
67' Pisilli ↑ · Kone ↓
67' Castro ↑ · Malen ↓
84' De Roon ↑ · Dybala ↓

Statistics

LEC 0 – 4 ROM
36%
Possession (%)
64%
0.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.35
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
7
3
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
9
9
Fouls
8
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 0 – 4
4'
⚽
D. Malen
0–1
9'
▮
D. Malen
Yellow Card
23'
⚽
D. Malen
Assist · Wesley Franca · 0–2
25'
⚽
M. Soule
0–3
Half-time · 0 – 3
K. Ndri ↓ · Tiago Gabriel ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Y. Maleh ↓ · O. Gorter ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
N. Stulic ↓ · W. Geubbels ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
54'
60'
⇄
N. Molina ↓ · Wesley Franca ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
R. Mora ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⚽
R. Mora
Assist · G. Mancini · 0–4
67'
⇄
N. Pisilli ↓ · M. Kone ↑
Substitution 3
67'
⇄
S. Castro ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 4
A. Fatah ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
I. Ilic ↓ · O. Ngom ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
72'
84'
⇄
M. De Roon ↓ · P. Dybala ↑
Substitution 5
I. Ilic
Yellow Card
▮
90'
Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

AS Roma won 4–0 away at Lecce. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.35 to 0.74. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: D. Malen (4'), D. Malen (23'), M. Soule (25'), R. Mora (65').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.22 units (Brier 0.148).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.10 2.00 58% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.18 2.13 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.45 2.72 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.63 1.65 45% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.73 1.87 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.88 3.44 38% Cashed +2.88 Cashed
Home Win 6.73 7.46 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.35 1.30 81% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.11 1.08 81% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Away Win 1.53 1.45 57% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
AH Home 0 5.05 5.71 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 4.33 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.10 3.40 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 1.30 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.15 1.12 57% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.80 10.99 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.22u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
LEC – ROM @ 1.35
+8.3%
Edge
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