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Home › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Como

Predictions by Market: Napoli vs Como

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 L L W D W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
Como
Como
W W W L D Away · last 5
Referee L. Pairetto

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAP
36%
Best 2.62
Draw
29%
Best 3.12
Away Win · COM
36%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.00
Fair odds
2.79
book 3.00 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (36%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.32
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 7.80
Show model details
Implied probability 12.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.6%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
NAP – COM @ 3.00
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →