🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 58% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Napoli enters this Serie A clash with clear home momentum after a recent win, while Como shows signs of resilience with a draw in their last outing. Napoli's home edge and attacking potential could challenge Como's defense, but the visitors' compact block and cautious approach may limit goal opportunities. Expect a tactical battle with moderate tempo, leaning towards a controlled game rather than an open shootout.
- Napoli's home confidence and pressing edge
- Como's defensive organization and recent draw
- Moderate pace suggested by market odds
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 36% | Como win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 58% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 52% | No |
| Double Chance | 64% | X2 |
- 1X2 Como win 36%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58%
- BTTS No 52%
- Double Chance X2 64%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Napoli
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
8 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
0.87 / 0.89
Como
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
7 / 2
Avg goals / match
1.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.79 / 1.01
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Napoli wins when scoring first
100%
①
Como wins when scoring first
83%
⚽
Napoli BTTS rate · last 10
20%
⚽
Como BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Napoli Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
Como Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Napoli comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Como comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Napoli · last 10 at home
0–15
25%
16–30
6%
31–45
19%
46–60
25%
61–75
13%
76–90
13%
Como · last 10 away
0–15
24%
16–30
6%
31–45
18%
46–60
18%
61–75
24%
76–90
12%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
