Napoli vs Como 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.00 — +7.6% better than the market.

Napoli enters this Serie A clash with clear home momentum after a recent win, while Como shows signs of resilience with a draw in their last outing. Napoli's home edge and attacking potential could challenge Como's defense, but the visitors' compact block and cautious approach may limit goal opportunities. Expect a tactical battle with moderate tempo, leaning towards a controlled game rather than an open shootout.

Napoli's home confidence and pressing edge
Como's defensive organization and recent draw
Moderate pace suggested by market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 36% Implied 33% +2.00u

+200%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NAP 4-3-3 · COM 4-2-3-1

NAP · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · COM

70 Lang

Subs used · NAP

56'

De Bruyne ↑ ·

McTominay ↓

56'

Spinazzola ↑ ·

Olivera ↓

56'

Santos ↑ ·

Lang ↓

80'

Lucca ↑ ·

Hojlund ↓

80'

Neres ↑ ·

Anguissa ↓

Subs used · COM

58'

Caqueret ↑ ·

Baturina ↓

58'

Smolcic ↑ ·

Couto ↓

65'

O. Kempf ↑ ·

Diao ↓

66'

Perrone ↑ ·

Da Cunha ↓

81'

Kaiki ↑ ·

Paz ↓

Statistics

NAP 1 – 2 COM

42%

Possession (%)

58%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.03

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 2

17'

⚽

M. Baturina

Assist · A. Diao · 0–1

R. Hojlund

Assist · A. Rrahmani · 1–1

⚽

30'

34'

⚽

A. Douvikas

Assist · M. Baturina · 1–2

G. Di Lorenzo

Yellow Card

▮

37'

Half-time · 1 – 2

K. De Bruyne ↓ · S. McTominay ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

L. Spinazzola ↓ · M. Olivera ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

Alisson Santos ↓ · N. Lang ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

56'

58'

⇄

M. Caqueret ↓ · M. Baturina ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

I. Smolcic ↓ · Y. Couto ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

M. O. Kempf ↓ · A. Diao ↑

Substitution 3

66'

⇄

M. Perrone ↓ · L. Da Cunha ↑

Substitution 4

L. Lucca ↓ · R. Hojlund ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

David Neres ↓ · F. Anguissa ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

81'

⇄

Kaiki ↓ · N. Paz ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Como won 2–1 away at Napoli. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 13, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: M. Baturina (17'), R. Hojlund (30'), A. Douvikas (34').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.46 units (Brier 0.189).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.30	2.25	42%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
BTTS No	1.82	1.91	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.62	1.67	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.92	1.86	48%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Home Win	2.50	2.53	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.13	2.17	36%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.76	1.74	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.00	3.15	36%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.54	1.50	64%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.87	2.88	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.10	3.00	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.36	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.40	1.40	68%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.32	4.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	89%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.20	1.20	78%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.80	7.52	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.46u	−14% ROI

Napoli vs Como 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled