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Home › Italy › Serie A › Juventus — Parma

Predictions by Market: Juventus vs Parma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
L D L W L Away · last 5
Referee F. Fourneau

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JUV
69%
Best 1.26
Draw
17%
Best 6.50
Away Win · PAR
14%
Best 15.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.25
Fair odds
5.91
book 6.25 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 17% · EV +5.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (69%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 14.3%
Odds 14.25
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 16.9%
Odds 6.25
Show model details
Implied probability 16%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14.3%
Odds 9.20
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31.3%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
JUV – PAR @ 6.25
+5.7%
Edge
Forecast →