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Juventus vs Parma 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
2:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
L D L W L Away · last 5
Referee F. Fourneau
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.20 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.34 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.67 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.68 – 0.22
Δ +1.46
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.25 — +5.7% better than the market.

Juventus enter this Serie A clash with clear home momentum after a recent win, while Parma are struggling to find form. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat should challenge Parma’s defense, which has shown vulnerability. Expect a controlled tempo with Juventus pressing their advantage, aiming to capitalize on Parma’s shaky away performances.

  • Home momentum favors Juventus
  • Parma’s defensive frailties exposed
  • Moderate pace likely with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 6.25 ✗ Lost
AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

JUV 2 – 0 PAR
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.22
21
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
3
12
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
3
10
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
23
Fouls
12
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 2 – 0
J. Lucumi
Yellow Card
▮
10'
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Locatelli
Yellow Card
▮
54'
55'
▮
E. Delprato
Yellow Card
N. Gonzalez ↓ · J. David ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
K. Alajbegovic ↓ · J. Boga ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
57'
62'
⇄
B. Cremaschi ↓ · C. Ordonez ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
D. Romero ↓ · S. Lontani ↑
Substitution 2
N. Gonzalez
1–0
⚽
63'
L. Kelly ↓ · J. Lucumi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
A. Cambiaso ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
78'
▮
M. Troilo
Yellow Card
80'
⇄
N. Elphege ↓ · E. B. Toure ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
A. Konate ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
P. Almqvist ↓ · S. Britschgi ↑
Substitution 5
T. Koopmeiners ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
T. Koopmeiners
Assist · M. Locatelli · 2–0
⚽
88'
90+3'
▮
A. Konate
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Juventus beat Parma 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.68 to 0.22. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 4, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Gonzalez (63'), T. Koopmeiners (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.28 units (Brier 0.095).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.20 2.10 48% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.34 2.50 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 1.73 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.59 2.88 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 14.25 13.51 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.42 4.05 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.20 8.62 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.25 6.17 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.40 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 1.40 69% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.04 1.04 86% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
BTTS No 1.55 1.50 57% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Home Win 1.21 1.22 69% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 1.03 69% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 12.99 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 1.22 76% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.28u −37% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
JUV – PAR @ 6.25
+5.7%
Edge
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