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Home › Italy › Serie A › Monza — Udinese

Predictions by Market: Monza vs Udinese

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Monza
Monza
Home · last 5 L D L W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:30
2:3
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W L L L Away · last 5
U-Power Stadium · Monza Referee C. G. Allegretta

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MON
30%
Best 3.15
Draw
28%
Best 3.20
Away Win · UDI
42%
Best 2.60
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.05
Fair odds
3.66
book 4.05 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +10.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (73%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.8%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29.8%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MON – UDI @ 4.05
+10.7%
Edge
Forecast →