Monza vs Udinese 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 4.05 — +10.7% better than the market.

Monza hosts Udinese in a Serie A clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown resilience with draws, while Monza is coming off a loss. The head-to-head history suggests tight encounters with multiple draws and narrow wins, hinting at a balanced tactical battle. Expect a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides may prioritize defensive solidity over aggressive pressing.

Udinese’s steadier form offers a subtle edge.
Monza’s home momentum is limited but could spur compact defending.
Low-scoring games dominate their recent meetings.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 4.05 ✓ Cashed

AI 27% Implied 25% +3.05u

+305%

ROI on stake

Statistics

MON 2 – 3 UDI

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.62

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.89

14

Total Shots

12

5

Shots on Target

5

Shots off Target

3

10

Shots Inside Box

10

3

Corner Kicks

3

4

Offsides

1

10

Fouls

12

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

1

Yellow Cards

0

2

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match events

16 · 2 – 3

32'

⚽

Jakub Piotrowski

Assist · Hassane Kamara · 0–1

Andrea Colpani

Assist · Ricardo Mangas · 1–1

⚽

37'

45'

⚽

Hassane Kamara

1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

Lorenzo Lucchesi

Yellow Card

▮

46'

45+3'

⚽

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp

1–3

Michael Folorunsho ↓ · Foe Ondoa ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

54'

Ebenezer Akinsanmiro ↓ · Mathis Mout ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

54'

60'

⇄

Lennon Miller ↓ · Jakub Piotrowski ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

Oier Zarraga ↓ · Unai Gómez ↑

Substitution 2

Filippo Delli Carri ↓ · Lorenzo Lucchesi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

Gustavo Varela

Assist · Ebenezer Akinsanmiro · 2–3

⚽

63'

68'

⇄

Idrissa Gueye ↓ · Keinan Davis ↑

Substitution 3

68'

⇄

Nicolo Bertola ↓ · Enzo Ebosse ↑

Substitution 4

Omari Forson ↓ · Samuele Birindelli ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

Dany Mota ↓ · Andrea Colpani ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

85'

⇄

Juan Arizala ↓ · Mergim Vojvoda ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Udinese won 3–2 away at Monza. At half-time it was 1–3.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.62 to 0.89. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.89 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: Jakub Piotrowski (32'), Andrea Colpani (37'), Hassane Kamara (45'), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (45+3'), Gustavo Varela (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.19 units (Brier 0.209).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.20	2.30	49%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.93	52%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Away Win	2.28	2.50	42%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.64	1.54	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	1.81	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.67	1.62	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.39	2.16	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.62	1.74	42%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.05	4.41	27%	Cashed	+3.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.32	1.36	70%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Draw	3.20	3.05	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.93	2.88	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	1.40	73%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Home Win	3.33	3.10	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	1.20	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	7.30	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.19u	−7% ROI

Monza vs Udinese 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled