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Home Italy Serie A Monza — Udinese

Preview Monza vs Udinese August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Monza
Monza
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Udinese
Udinese
D Away · last 5
Home Win · MON
30%
Best 3.40
Draw
28%
Best 3.30
Away Win · UDI
42%
Best 2.40

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 52% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Monza hosts Udinese in a Serie A clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown resilience with draws, while Monza is coming off a loss. The head-to-head history suggests tight encounters with multiple draws and narrow wins, hinting at a balanced tactical battle. Expect a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides may prioritize defensive solidity over aggressive pressing.

  • Udinese’s steadier form offers a subtle edge.
  • Monza’s home momentum is limited but could spur compact defending.
  • Low-scoring games dominate their recent meetings.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 42% Udinese win
Over/Under 2.5 51% Under 2.5
BTTS 52% Yes
Double Chance 70% X2
  • 1X2 Udinese win 42%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51%
  • BTTS Yes 52%
  • Double Chance X2 70%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Monza
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 4 / 14
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.00 / 1.61
Udinese
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 0/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.38 / 1.17

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1
4
Goals Conceded
1
1.09
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
3
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
1
29
Possession (%)
41
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
70
DEF · home
50
40
OFF · away
50
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Monza wins when scoring first
33%
Udinese wins when scoring first
67%
Monza BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Udinese BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Monza Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Udinese Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Monza comeback rate · last 10
0%
Udinese comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Monza · last 10 at home

0–15 33%
16–30 17%
31–45 17%
46–60 17%
61–75 17%
76–90 0%

Udinese · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 18%
31–45 12%
46–60 24%
61–75 18%
76–90 29%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Gustavo Varela
MON · Forward
1 G
M. Mout
MON · Midfielder
0 G
H. Kamara
UDI · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90
J. Ekkelenkamp
UDI · Attacker
0 G