Match Atalanta vs Sassuolo August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.50 — +8.9% better than the market.

With limited recent form and performance data, this Serie A opener between Atalanta and Sassuolo leans on historical tendencies and market signals. Atalanta typically enjoys a pressing edge at home, while Sassuolo’s compact block can challenge offensively. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight tilt towards goals, hinting at a balanced pace and potential for both sides to find chances.

Home momentum and tactical pressing favor Atalanta
Sassuolo’s disciplined defense may limit clear-cut opportunities
Market odds imply a moderately high-scoring encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.50 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 40% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ATA 4-3-3 · SAS 4-3-3

ATA · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · SAS

18 Raspadori ⚽

Subs used · ATA

60'

De Ketelaere ↑ ·

Zalewski ↓

60'

Krstovic ↑ ·

Scamacca ↓

60'

Samardzic ↑ ·

Pasalic ↓

71'

Kolasinac ↑ ·

Bernasconi ↓

82'

Elmas ↑ ·

Raspadori ↓

Subs used · SAS

64'

Thorstvedt ↑ ·

Adzic ↓

74'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Matic ↓

74'

Leysen ↑ ·

Macchioni ↓

88'

Kulla ↑ ·

Bowie ↓

88'

Ciervo ↑ ·

Volpato ↓

📊 Statistics

ATA 2 – 1 SAS

56%

Possession (%)

44%

0.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 1

G. Raspadori

Assist · G. Gaetano · 1–0

⚽

Half-time · 1 – 0

55'

⚽

C. Odenthal

1–1

C. De Ketelaere ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

N. Krstovic ↓ · G. Scamacca ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

L. Samardzic ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

60'

64'

⇄

K. Thorstvedt ↓ · V. Adzic ↑

Substitution 1

N. Krstovic

2–1

⚽

65'

S. Kolasinac ↓ · L. Bernasconi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

74'

⇄

B. Dominguez ↓ · N. Matic ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

F. Leysen ↓ · T. Macchioni ↑

Substitution 3

E. Elmas ↓ · G. Raspadori ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

88'

⇄

G. Kulla ↓ · K. Bowie ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

R. Ciervo ↓ · C. Volpato ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.73 to 0.71. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 14, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

On the scoresheet: G. Raspadori (6'), C. Odenthal (55'), N. Krstovic (65').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.07 units (Brier 0.128).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.50	2.39	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	1.73	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	2.20	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.66	2.75	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	1.75	53%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
BTTS No	1.97	1.98	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	1.44	65%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	6.12	5.88	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.53	1.55	56%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Draw	4.28	4.15	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	1.20	78%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.22	4.33	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.42	4.29	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.12	1.15	79%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	1.19	56%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−5.07u	−34% ROI