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Home Italy Serie A Frosinone — Juventus

Match Frosinone vs Juventus August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Frosinone
Frosinone
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
W Away · last 5
Stadio Benito Stirpe · Frosinone Referee G. Ayroldi
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 43% · book 2.69
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.62
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.30
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.45 – 1.99
Δ −1.54
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.69 — +14.6% better than the market.

Juventus arrives at Stadio Benito Stirpe as clear favorites despite limited recent form data. The away side's historical stature and tactical discipline suggest they will control the tempo, leveraging a compact defensive block against Frosinone's home momentum. Expect a measured pace with a moderate goal environment, as odds hint at a balanced over/under 2.5 goals scenario.

  • Juventus' pressing edge likely to disrupt Frosinone's build-up
  • Home side's resilience could limit scoring chances
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.69 ✗ Lost
AI 43% Implied 37% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FRO 4-3-3 · JUV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · FRO
59' Masini ↑ · Schmid
59' Zerbin ↑ · Fini
67' Hasa ↑ · Cichella
67' Oyono ↑ · Monterisi
76' Terzic ↑ · Bracaglia
Subs used · JUV
69' Cambiaso ↑ · Celik
69' Zhegrova ↑ · Conceicao
69' Boga ↑ · Yildiz
79' Koopmeiners ↑ · Luiz
90+1' Perin ↑ · Vicario

📊 Statistics

FRO 01 JUV
37%
Possession (%)
63%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.99
11
Total Shots
20
2
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
9
7
Shots Inside Box
13
3
Corner Kicks
12
4
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
18
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
22'
Bremer
Assist · F. Conceicao · 0–1
R. Schmid
Yellow Card
43'
Half-time · 0 – 1
50'
Z. Celik
Yellow Card
P. Masini ↓ · R. Schmid ↑
Substitution 1
59'
A. Zerbin ↓ · S. Fini ↑
Substitution 2
59'
L. Hasa ↓ · M. Cichella ↑
Substitution 3
67'
A. Oyono ↓ · I. Monterisi ↑
Substitution 4
67'
69'
A. Cambiaso ↓ · Z. Celik ↑
Substitution 1
69'
E. Zhegrova ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑
Substitution 2
69'
J. Boga ↓ · K. Yildiz ↑
Substitution 3
A. Terzic ↓ · G. Bracaglia ↑
Substitution 5
76'
79'
T. Koopmeiners ↓ · Douglas Luiz ↑
Substitution 4
81'
A. Cambiaso
Yellow Card
90+1'
M. Perin ↓ · G. Vicario ↑
Substitution 5
G. Calvani
Yellow Card
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Juventus won 1–0 away at Frosinone. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.99 to 0.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 11, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bremer (22').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.69 2.78 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 1.62 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.30 2.30 41% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 1.95 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 1.80 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 7.25 7.52 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.50 2.50 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.46 1.44 57% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
AH Home 0 5.38 5.59 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.35 4.55 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 1.48 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 1.20 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.84 4.50 24% Cashed +2.84 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 92% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 14.93 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.11 1.10 79% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.14 1.13 57% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.95u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
FRO – JUV @ 2.69
+14.6%
Edge
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