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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Monza

Predictions by Market: Inter vs Monza

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 16:30
4:1
Full-time
Monza
Monza
L D L W L Away · last 5
Referee Livio Marinelli, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · INT
68%
Best 1.20
Draw
17%
Best 8.15
Away Win · MON
15%
Best 17.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.77
book 6.00 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +4.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (68%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 14.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 17.3%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.5%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 32.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – MON @ 6.00
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →