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Home Italy Serie A Inter — Monza

Predictions Inter vs Monza August 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 16:30
4:1
Full-time
Monza
Monza
L Away · last 5
Referee Livio Marinelli, Italy
Home Win · INT
68%
Best 1.20
Draw
17%
Best 8.15
Away Win · MON
15%
Best 17.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.77
book 6.00 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +4.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (68%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 14.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 17.3%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 13.00
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Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.25
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Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 13.5%
Odds 12.50
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Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 32.3%
Odds 4.00
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Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – MON @ 6.00
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →