Match Inter vs Monza August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.00 — +4.0% better than the market.

Inter starts the Serie A season with a clear home advantage, expected to control the tempo and press high against Monza. Despite limited recent form data, Inter’s home edge and Monza’s underdog status suggest a match leaning towards Inter’s favor. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by Inter’s attacking potential against Monza’s defense.

Home momentum likely to shape the match
Inter’s pressing could exploit Monza’s defensive gaps
Moderate goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.00 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 17% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · MON 3-4-3

INT · 3-5-2 3-4-3 · MON

10 Martínez

Subs used · INT

54'

Bonny ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

54'

Sucic ↑ ·

Calhanoglu ↓

75'

Stones ↑ ·

Akanji ↓

75'

Henrique ↑ ·

Diouf ↓

83'

Stankovic ↑ ·

Zielinski ↓

Subs used · MON

70'

Forson ↑ ·

Colpani ↓

70'

Galazzi ↑ ·

Mout ↓

70'

Cutrone ↑ ·

Bakoune ↓

83'

Robinson ↑ ·

Varela ↓

88'

Delli Carri ↑ ·

Lucchesi ↓

📊 Statistics

INT 4 – 1 MON

71%

Possession (%)

29%

1.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 4 – 1

H. Calhanoglu

Assist · A. Diouf · 1–0

⚽

29'

⚽

G. Varela

Assist · M. Mout · 1–1

L. Martinez

Yellow Card

▮

34'

H. Calhanoglu

Yellow Card

▮

45+1'

Half-time · 1 – 1

P. Zielinski

2–1

⚽

48'

A. Bonny ↓ · L. Martinez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

54'

P. Sucic ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

54'

F. Esposito

Assist · A. Diouf · 3–1

⚽

55'

Y. Bisseck

Assist · F. Esposito · 4–1

⚽

63'

69'

▮

E. Kouadio

Yellow Card

70'

⇄

O. Forson ↓ · A. Colpani ↑

Substitution 1

70'

⇄

N. Galazzi ↓ · M. Mout ↑

Substitution 2

70'

⇄

P. Cutrone ↓ · A. Bakoune ↑

Substitution 3

J. Stones ↓ · M. Akanji ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

Luis Henrique ↓ · A. Diouf ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

83'

⇄

J. Robinson ↓ · G. Varela ↑

Substitution 4

A. Stankovic ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

84'

▮

L. Lucchesi

Yellow Card

88'

⇄

F. Delli Carri ↓ · L. Lucchesi ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

Inter beat Monza 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 7, 5 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.16 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Calhanoglu (6'), G. Varela (29'), P. Zielinski (48'), F. Esposito (55'), Y. Bisseck (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.23 units (Brier 0.129).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.48	1.50	64%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.62	2.55	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.58	2.30	36%	Cashed	+1.58	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.25	2.25	41%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Away Win	12.50	15.38	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.62	1.62	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.58	1.58	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.00	4.90	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	12.50	12.50	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.00	7.52	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.02	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	16.95	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	1.12	82%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.40	5.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	1.03	85%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.22	1.18	68%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.04	1.04	68%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.23u	−31% ROI