Zaglebie Lubin enters this match with a clear home advantage and stronger recent form compared to Arka Gdynia, who have struggled away and shown inconsistency. The home side’s attacking potential and overall strength suggest they will control the game tempo and create more quality chances. Arka’s solid defensive shape may limit the scoring somewhat, but their offensive struggles away from home reduce their threat level. Expect a match with moderate goal scoring, leaning towards a home win but with a realistic chance for a draw if Arka can stay compact. The best value lies in backing the home side with Asian Handicap and totals markets favoring goals over 1.5, while BTTS is less likely given Arka’s limited scoring away.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
ZAG 4-2-3-1 · ARK 3-4-3📊 Statistics
ZAG 4 – 0 ARK40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.44
9
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
16
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
⏱ Match events
17 · 4 – 0A. Radwanski
Assist · J. Corluka · 1–0
3'
L. Rocha
Assist · K. Szmyt · 2–0
7'
26'
▮
Aurélien Nguiamba
Yellow Card
M. Nalepa
Assist · A. Radwanski · 3–0
33'
36'
▮
Julien Celestine
Yellow Card
A. Radwanski
Assist · L. Rocha · 4–0
44'
Half-time · 4 – 0
46'
⇄
K. Hermoso ↓ · J. Celestine ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
M. Predenkiewicz ↓ · D. Abramowicz ↑
Substitution 2
46'
⇄
S. Kerk ↓ · A. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 3
46'
⇄
N. Rusyn ↓ · P. Szysz ↑
Substitution 4
58'
▮
Sebastian Kerk
Yellow Card
M. Kosidis ↓ · L. Rocha ↑
Substitution 1
67'
M. Wdowiak ↓ · M. Regula ↑
Substitution 2
67'
R. Yakuba ↓ · A. Lawniczak ↑
Substitution 3
78'
M. Dziewiatowski ↓ · A. Radwanski ↑
Substitution 4
78'
81'
⇄
L. Perea ↓ · A. Nguiamba ↑
Substitution 5
J. Sypek ↓ · K. Szmyt ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 4 – 0
Match recap
Zaglebie Lubin beat Arka Gdynia 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.44. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.37 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: A. Radwanski (3'), L. Rocha (7'), M. Nalepa (33'), A. Radwanski (44').
Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 7 landed and 2 missed, for a net +3.50 units (Brier 0.112).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 7 W · 2 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.30 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 2.10 | — | 60% | Cashed | +1.10 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.55 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.55 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.22 | — | 80% | Cashed | +0.22 | Cashed |
| Away Team Total Under 0.5 | 2.89 | — | 55% | Cashed | +1.89 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.32 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.32 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 2.12 | — | 53% | Cashed | +1.12 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.50 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 3.56 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 7 W · 2 L | +3.50u | +39% ROI |