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Football Poland Ekstraklasa Zaglebie Lubin — Arka Gdynia

Match Zaglebie Lubin vs Arka Gdynia September 29, 2025

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Home · last 5 L D W L L
Kick-off
Mon 29 Sep · 16:00
4:0
Full-time
Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
L D D L L Away · last 5
KGHM Zagłębie Arena · Lubin Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 70% · book 1.30
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 2.10
Hit
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 65% · book 1.55
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.37 – 0.44
Δ +0.93
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
7 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Zaglebie Lubin enters this match with a clear home advantage and stronger recent form compared to Arka Gdynia, who have struggled away and shown inconsistency. The home side’s attacking potential and overall strength suggest they will control the game tempo and create more quality chances. Arka’s solid defensive shape may limit the scoring somewhat, but their offensive struggles away from home reduce their threat level. Expect a match with moderate goal scoring, leaning towards a home win but with a realistic chance for a draw if Arka can stay compact. The best value lies in backing the home side with Asian Handicap and totals markets favoring goals over 1.5, while BTTS is less likely given Arka’s limited scoring away.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ZAG 4-2-3-1 · ARK 3-4-3
Subs used · ZAG
67' Kosidis ↑ · Rocha
67' Wdowiak ↑ · Regula
78' Yakuba ↑ · Lawniczak
78' Dziewiatowski ↑ · Radwanski
89' Sypek ↑ · Szmyt
Subs used · ARK
46' Hermoso ↑ · Celestine
46' Predenkiewicz ↑ · Abramowicz
46' Kerk ↑ · Sidibe
46' Rusyn ↑ · Szysz
81' Perea ↑ · Nguiamba

📊 Statistics

ZAG 40 ARK
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
9
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
16
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 4 – 0
A. Radwanski
Assist · J. Corluka · 1–0
3'
L. Rocha
Assist · K. Szmyt · 2–0
7'
26'
Aurélien Nguiamba
Yellow Card
M. Nalepa
Assist · A. Radwanski · 3–0
33'
36'
Julien Celestine
Yellow Card
A. Radwanski
Assist · L. Rocha · 4–0
44'
Half-time · 4 – 0
46'
K. Hermoso ↓ · J. Celestine ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. Predenkiewicz ↓ · D. Abramowicz ↑
Substitution 2
46'
S. Kerk ↓ · A. Sidibe ↑
Substitution 3
46'
N. Rusyn ↓ · P. Szysz ↑
Substitution 4
58'
Sebastian Kerk
Yellow Card
M. Kosidis ↓ · L. Rocha ↑
Substitution 1
67'
M. Wdowiak ↓ · M. Regula ↑
Substitution 2
67'
R. Yakuba ↓ · A. Lawniczak ↑
Substitution 3
78'
M. Dziewiatowski ↓ · A. Radwanski ↑
Substitution 4
78'
81'
L. Perea ↓ · A. Nguiamba ↑
Substitution 5
J. Sypek ↓ · K. Szmyt ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 7 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 1.5 1.30 70% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 60% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.55 65% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.22 80% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Away Team Total Under 0.5 2.89 55% Cashed +1.89 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.32 78% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Home Win 2.12 53% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Draw 3.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.56 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 2 L +3.50u +39% ROI