This clash features a home side struggling for form and scoring consistency, facing an away team with a stronger recent record and more potent attack. Raków’s defensive resilience at home is moderate but their attacking threat is limited, while Lech Poznan arrives with better momentum and a sharper offensive edge. The away side’s ability to create quality chances suggests a competitive game with goals likely, though Raków’s home advantage and defensive shape could keep the margin narrow. The model favors a close contest with a slight lean towards an away win or a draw. Totals around 2.5 goals appear balanced, with both teams likely to find the net, making BTTS a reasonable consideration.
⛀ Lineups
RAK 3-4-2-1 · LEC 4-4-2📊 Statistics
RAK 2 – 2 LEC⏱ Match events
18 · 2 – 2Match recap
Raków Częstochowa and Lech Poznan drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–2.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 0.72. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: J. Pereira (29'), L. Palma (45'), L. Palma (55'), P. Barath (64'), I. Lopez (67'). Luis Palma was sent off in the 55' minute.
Model audit for this match: of 10 graded markets, 6 landed and 4 missed, for a net +1.93 units (Brier 0.214).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
10 · 6 W · 4 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.78 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.78 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.96 | — | 52% | Cashed | +0.96 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.74 | — | 62% | Cashed | +0.74 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 2.40 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.39 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.39 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 2.20 | — | 38% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.81 | — | 28% | Cashed | +2.81 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 3.50 | — | 34% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.60 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.25 | — | 48% | Cashed | +0.25 | Cashed |
| Total · 10 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 6 W · 4 L | +1.93u | +19% ROI |