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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Dortmund — Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 W W W W D
Kick-off
Fri 09 Oct · 18:30
2:2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
L W D W D Away · last 5
Signal Iduna Park · Dortmund Referee Christian Dingert
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.87 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.26 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 38% · book 2.01 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.50 – 1.19
Δ +1.31
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund carry strong home momentum with a solid attacking edge against Werder Bremen's defense. Their recent flawless form and superior overall quality suggest control over the match tempo. Bremen's defensive resilience may limit scoring, hinting at a tactical battle with Dortmund pressing high and Bremen compacting deep.

  • Dortmund's home attacking threat contrasts Bremen's modest defensive record.
  • Recent form favors Dortmund's confidence and rhythm.
  • Match likely to feature measured pace with Dortmund probing patiently.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · WER 4-3-3
DOR · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · WER 1 Kobel 22 Gadou 3 Anton 4 Schlotterbeck ⚽ 20 Sabitzer 7 Bellingham 8 Nmecha 24 Svensson ⚽ 18 Nwaneri 14 Beier 9 Guirassy 1 Hein 13 Arthur 5 Pieper 32 Friedl 2 Deman 15 Reis ⚽ 44 Regeer 20 José 18 Dinkçi 10 Füllkrug ⚽ 17 Grüll
Subs used · DOR
63' Silva ↑ · Nwaneri ↓
72' Karetsas ↑ · Sabitzer ↓
72' Veerman ↑ · Bellingham ↓
Subs used · WER
19' Wójcik ↑ · Pieper ↓
65' Weiser ↑ · Soares ↓
65' Stalmach ↑ · Regeer ↓
81' Erevbenagie ↑ · Cantalejo ↓
81' Schmetgens ↑ · Dinkci ↓

Statistics

DOR 2 – 2 WER
72%
Possession (%)
28%
2.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.19
21
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
6
9
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
19'
⇄
Oskar Wójcik ↓ · Amos Pieper ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
Fábio Silva ↓ · Ethan Nwaneri ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
65'
⇄
Mitchell Weiser ↓ · Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
Dariusz Stalmach ↓ · Youri Regeer ↑
Substitution 3
Konstantinos Karetsas ↓ · Marcel Sabitzer ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
Joey Veerman ↓ · Jobe Bellingham ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
Daniel Svensson
Assist · Fábio Silva · 1–0
⚽
80'
81'
⇄
Paul Erevbenagie ↓ · Iván San José Cantalejo ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
Mick Schmetgens ↓ · Eren Dinkci ↑
Substitution 5
Nico Schlotterbeck
Assist · Joey Veerman · 2–0
⚽
85'
88'
⚽
Ludovit Reis
Assist · Oskar Wójcik · 2–1
90'
▮
Dariusz Stalmach
Yellow Card
Joey Veerman
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
90+2'
⚽
Niclas Füllkrug
Assist · Marco Grüll · 2–2
Felix Nmecha
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
90+8'
▮
Daniel Thioune
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.50 to 1.19. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Daniel Svensson (80'), Nico Schlotterbeck (85'), Ludovit Reis (88'), Niclas Füllkrug (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +0.40 units (Brier 0.267).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.87 1.91 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.26 2.24 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.01 1.91 38% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.97 3.10 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.23 6.49 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 1.08 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.36 1.33 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.00 3.28 28% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 1.10 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 1.62 49% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Draw 5.25 5.49 18% Cashed +4.25 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 1.10 75% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.37 1.36 58% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Away Win 7.00 8.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.65 5.92 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +0.40u +3% ROI