P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FSV Mainz 05 — Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions by Market: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:30
3:4
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W D W W Away · last 5
MEWA Arena · Mainz Referee Max Burda

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MAI
27%
Best 3.18
Draw
24%
Best 3.92
Away Win · BAY
49%
Best 2.24
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 19.00
Fair odds
16.61
book 19.00 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 6% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (94%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 27.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
MAI – BAY @ 19.00
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →