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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — FC Schalke 04

Predictions by Market: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 15:30
2:1
Full-time
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04
L D W D L Away · last 5
Europa-Park-Stadion · Freiburg Referee Martin Petersen

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRE
64%
Best 1.74
Draw
22%
Best 4.04
Away Win · SCH
14%
Best 5.18
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.17
book 2.36 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (54%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 3.99
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 14.1%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14.1%
Odds 3.77
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
FRE – SCH @ 2.36
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →