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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund

Predictions by Market: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
W W W W D Away · last 5
MHP Arena · Stuttgart Referee Tobias Stieler

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · STU
44%
Best 2.52
Draw
24%
Best 3.90
Away Win · DOR
33%
Best 2.76
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.48
Fair odds
5.71
book 6.48 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 18% · EV +13.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (82%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.7%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.5%
Odds 6.48
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.6%
Odds 24.50
Show model details
Implied probability 4.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 92.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
STU – DOR @ 6.48
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →