VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund 0:1

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 6.48 — +13.3% better than the market.

VfB Stuttgart faces Borussia Dortmund with contrasting momentum. Stuttgart’s recent struggles at home contrast with Dortmund’s strong winning streak, suggesting an away side confident on the break. The match hints at a balanced tactical battle, with both sides showing similar expected goal profiles recently.

Stuttgart’s home form is shaky but they hold defensive resilience.
Dortmund’s attacking momentum and pressing could unlock chances.
The pace may be moderate, favoring a compact, strategic duel.

Expect a tight contest where Dortmund’s confidence meets Stuttgart’s home grit, likely producing a moderate goal count under 3.5.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 6.48 ✓ Cashed

AI 18% Implied 15% +5.48u

+548%

ROI on stake

Lineups

STU 3-4-2-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1

STU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · DOR

9 Demirović

Subs used · STU

64'

Leweling ↑ ·

Führich ↓

64'

Pejčinović ↑ ·

Undav ↓

84'

Sauer ↑ ·

Khannouss ↓

84'

Nartey ↑ ·

Prömel ↓

Subs used · DOR

62'

Bellingham ↑ ·

Veerman ↓

62'

Karetsas ↑ ·

Nwaneri ↓

74'

Silva ↑ ·

Guirassy ↓

82'

Sabitzer ↑ ·

Beier ↓

82'

Bensebaini ↑ ·

Ryerson ↓

Statistics

STU 0 – 1 DOR

56%

Possession (%)

44%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 0 – 1

Ermedin Demirović

Yellow Card

▮

13'

Angelo Stiller

Yellow Card

▮

17'

32'

▮

Nico Schlotterbeck

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

▮

Joey Veerman

Yellow Card

57'

▮

Kouakou Joane Gadou

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

Jobe Bellingham ↓ · Joey Veerman ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

Konstantinos Karetsas ↓ · Ethan Nwaneri ↑

Substitution 2

Jamie Leweling ↓ · Chris Führich ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

Dženan Pejčinović ↓ · Deniz Undav ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

70'

⚽

Maximilian Beier

Assist · Jobe Bellingham · 0–1

74'

⇄

Fábio Silva ↓ · Serhou Guirassy ↑

Substitution 3

81'

▮

Jobe Bellingham

Yellow Card

82'

▮

Julian Ryerson

Yellow Card

82'

⇄

Marcel Sabitzer ↓ · Maximilian Beier ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

Ramy Bensebaini ↓ · Julian Ryerson ↑

Substitution 5

Leo Sauer ↓ · Bilal El Khannouss ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

Nikolas Nartey ↓ · Grischa Prömel ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0 away at VfB Stuttgart. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Maximilian Beier (70').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.17 units (Brier 0.313).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.94	1.91	58%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Home Win	2.25	2.40	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.62	1.56	57%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Away Win	2.78	2.66	33%	Cashed	+1.78	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.94	1.91	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.74	1.86	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.15	2.04	33%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.00	3.10	37%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
BTTS No	3.18	3.23	35%	Cashed	+2.18	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	1.42	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.48	6.49	18%	Cashed	+5.48	Cashed
Under 0.5	24.50	25.64	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.90	3.91	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.09	1.10	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.33	1.32	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.34	1.36	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.17u	+30% ROI

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled