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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt — SC Freiburg

Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home · last 5 D L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 13:30
2:2
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W W D W Away · last 5
Deutsche Bank Park · Frankfurt Referee Soren Storks
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 65% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.46 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.61 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.20 — +13.7% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt hosts SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash where Freiburg's recent winning streak contrasts with Frankfurt's mixed form. The visitors show strong momentum and a slight edge in recent points per game, suggesting they could challenge Frankfurt's home resilience. Expect a tactical battle with Freiburg's pressing and compact defense testing Frankfurt's attack, while the home side's set-piece threat and home familiarity offer balance.

  • Freiburg's current form favors them slightly
  • Frankfurt's home edge and set-piece potential
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 5.20 ✗ Lost
AI 22% Implied 19% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 3-4-2-1 · FRE 4-2-3-1
EIN · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · FRE 1 Atubolu 2 Baum 4 Koch 3 Brassier 20 Dōan 15 Aséko Nkili 25 Onyedika 26 Kosugi 9 Burkardt ⚽ 42 Uzun 11 Ebnoutalib ⚽ 1 Backhaus 29 Treu 28 Ginter 3 Lienhart 33 Makengo 8 Eggestein 16 Engelhardt 19 Beste 14 Suzuki ⚽ 7 Scherhant ⚽ 31 Matanović
Subs used · EIN
45' Hojlund ↑ · Aseko ↓
61' Collins ↑ · Baum ↓
61' Knauff ↑ · Doan ↓
89' Götze ↑ · Uzun ↓
89' Amaimouni-Echghouyab ↑ · Burkardt ↓
Subs used · FRE
71' Kübler ↑ · Beste ↓
71' Grifo ↑ · Scherhant ↓
83' Höler ↑ · Suzuki ↓
84' Goto ↑ · Matanovic ↓

Statistics

EIN 2 – 2 FRE
40%
Possession (%)
60%
10
Total Shots
22
3
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
12
9
Shots Inside Box
17
3
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 2 – 2
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
Yellow Card
▮
9'
Younes Ebnoutalib
Assist · Ritsu Doan · 1–0
⚽
10'
34'
⚽
Derry Lionel Scherhant
Assist · Jordy Makengo · 1–1
Jonathan Burkardt
Assist · Robin Koch · 2–1
⚽
36'
37'
▮
Mio Backhaus
Yellow Card
Oscar Winther Hojlund ↓ · Noel Aseko ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Half-time · 2 – 1
48'
⚽
Yuito Suzuki
Assist · Derry Lionel Scherhant · 2–2
Oscar Winther Hojlund
Yellow Card
▮
56'
Nnamdi Collins ↓ · Elias Niklas Baum ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
Ansgar Knauff ↓ · Ritsu Doan ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
71'
⇄
Lukas Kübler ↓ · Jan-Niklas Beste ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
Vincenzo Grifo ↓ · Derry Lionel Scherhant ↑
Substitution 2
83'
⇄
Lucas Höler ↓ · Yuito Suzuki ↑
Substitution 3
84'
⇄
Keisuke Goto ↓ · Igor Matanovic ↑
Substitution 4
88'
▮
Lucas Höler
Yellow Card
Mario Götze ↓ · Can Yilmaz Uzun ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab ↓ · Jonathan Burkardt ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
89'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 10, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Younes Ebnoutalib (10'), Derry Lionel Scherhant (34'), Jonathan Burkardt (36'), Yuito Suzuki (48').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.87 units (Brier 0.183).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.69 1.70 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.46 2.63 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.61 2.75 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.63 1.55 60% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Away Win 2.80 2.62 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.25 2.50 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.26 2.25 35% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.14 2.00 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.75 1.90 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 1.44 65% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.20 5.49 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.41 59% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 1.47 56% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 20.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.75 3.82 24% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.13 1.13 78% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.87u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
EIN – FRE @ 5.20
+13.7%
Edge
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