P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Mönchengladbach — FSV Mainz 05

Predictions by Market: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 13:30
3:4
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D W L W L Away · last 5
Borussia-Park · Monchengladbach Referee Robert Hartmann

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOE
34%
Best 3.22
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · MAI
41%
Best 2.23
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.40 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (55%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.84
Show model details
Implied probability 35.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.7%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.7%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MOE – MAI @ 2.40
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →