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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg

Predictions by Market: Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Home · last 5 L W D W D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 13:30
3:2
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W W D L D Away · last 5
Weser-Stadion · Bremen Referee Bastian Dankert

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WER
42%
Best 2.39
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · AUG
33%
Best 2.93
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.60
book 2.88 · +11.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +11.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (59%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.3%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
WER – AUG @ 2.88
+11.0%
Edge
Forecast →