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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC Augsburg — Bayer Leverkusen

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 13:30
2:2
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W D W W Away · last 5
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 59% · book 2.09 ✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 56% · book 1.93 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 1.88 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.41 — +7.9% better than the market.

FC Augsburg arrives with strong home momentum, unbeaten in recent matches and showing a higher points per game than Bayer Leverkusen. Their attacking play looks lively, suggesting they can challenge Leverkusen's defense effectively. Meanwhile, Leverkusen's away form is less convincing, and Augsburg's compact block at home could limit their offensive threats.

  • Augsburg's recent winning streak boosts confidence.
  • Leverkusen may struggle breaking down a disciplined home side.
  • Expect a lively tempo with chances at both ends, supporting over 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.41 ✓ Cashed
AI 77% Implied 71% +0.41u
+41%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUG 3-4-2-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1
AUG · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BAY 1 Dahmen 40 Banks 5 Matsima 2 Brackelmann 27 Wolf 4 Massengo 32 Rieder 16 Behrens 21 Ibrahimović 19 Fellhauer 11 Gregoritsch ⚽ 1 Flekken 4 Quansah 12 Tapsoba 2 Medina 3 Gutiérrez 6 Fernández 24 García 19 Diaby 30 Maza 9 Moreira 35 Kofane ⚽
Subs used · AUG
58' Claude-Maurice ↑ · Ibrahimovic ↓
77' Young-woo ↑ · Wolf ↓
77' Kömür ↑ · Fellhauer ↓
85' Keitel ↑ · Massengo ↓
85' Ribeiro ↑ · Gregoritsch ↓
Subs used · BAY
63' Schick ↑ · Kofane ↓
63' Doué ↑ · Quansah ↓
76' Tillman ↑ · Moreira ↓
76' Terrier ↑ · Carballo ↓
85' Vázquez ↑ · Medina ↓

Statistics

AUG 2 – 2 BAY
37%
Possession (%)
63%
8
Total Shots
30
5
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
13
5
Shots Inside Box
21
2
Corner Kicks
14
0
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 2 – 2
18'
⚽
Christian Kofane
Assist · Edmond Tapsoba · 0–1
Noahkai Banks
Yellow Card
▮
38'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Michael Gregoritsch
Assist · Hennes Behrens · 1–1
⚽
50'
Michael Gregoritsch
Assist · Fabian Rieder · 2–1
⚽
55'
Alexis Claude-Maurice ↓ · Arijon Ibrahimovic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
M. Baum
Yellow Card
▮
60'
63'
⇄
Patrik Schick ↓ · Christian Kofane ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
Guéla Doué ↓ · Jarell Quansah ↑
Substitution 2
72'
▮
Guéla Doué
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
Malik Tillman ↓ · Afonso Moreira ↑
Substitution 3
76'
⇄
Martin Terrier ↓ · Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo ↑
Substitution 4
Seol Young-woo ↓ · Marius Wolf ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
Mert Kömür ↓ · Robin Fellhauer ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
Yannik Keitel ↓ · Han-Noah Massengo ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
Rodrigo Ribeiro ↓ · Michael Gregoritsch ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
Lucas Vázquez ↓ · Facundo Medina ↑
Substitution 5
89'
⚽
Patrik Schick
Assist · Malik Tillman · 2–2
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 14 to 2.

On the scoresheet: Christian Kofane (18'), Michael Gregoritsch (50'), Michael Gregoritsch (55'), Patrik Schick (89').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -1.81 units (Brier 0.137).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.09 2.05 59% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.93 1.93 56% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Away Win 1.88 1.88 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.80 1.80 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.62 2.80 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.78 2.88 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.41 1.40 77% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.40 74% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Home Win 4.20 3.83 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.13 2.92 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.22 1.25 70% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.10 1.10 91% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 4.00 4.10 23% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.44 1.43 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.90 6.49 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −1.81u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
AUG – BAY @ 1.41
+7.9%
Edge
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