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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — Borussia Mönchengladbach

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 13:30
5:0
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L L L L L Away · last 5
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.39 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.28 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 47% · book 2.10 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +2.4% better than the market.

SC Freiburg arrives with strong home momentum, unbeaten in recent matches and boasting a perfect points haul. Their attacking threat outpaces Borussia Mönchengladbach's defensive resilience, suggesting Freiburg can control the tempo. Meanwhile, Gladbach struggles on the road, showing signs of defensive frailty and poor form, which could be exploited by Freiburg's pressing style.

  • Home side's recent wins boost confidence and attacking rhythm
  • Gladbach's defensive lapses and away struggles create openings
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured chances over wild end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.65 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 61% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · MOE 4-4-2
FRE · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · MOE 1 Backhaus 29 Treu 28 Ginter 3 Lienhart 33 Makengo 8 Eggestein ⚽ 16 Engelhardt ⚽ 19 Beste 14 Suzuki 7 Scherhant 31 Matanović ⚽ 1 Nicolas 29 Scally 6 Itakura 4 Diks 20 Herold 9 Honorat 16 Sander 7 Stöger 25 Hack 38 Bolin 11 Kleindienst
Subs used · FRE
67' Grifo ↑ · Scherhant ↓
78' Höler ↑ · Matanovic ↓
78' Goto ↑ · Suzuki ↓
82' Irié ↑ · Beste ↓
82' Kübler ↑ · Treu ↓
Subs used · MOE
45' Machino ↑ · Bolin ↓
67' Mohya ↑ · Hack ↓
67' Lidberg ↑ · Honorat ↓
83' nguefack ↑ · Stöger ↓

Statistics

FRE 5 – 0 MOE
60%
Possession (%)
40%
19
Total Shots
5
9
Shots on Target
0
5
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 5 – 0
13'
▮
Tim Kleindienst
Yellow Card
14'
▮
Kevin Diks
Yellow Card
Yannick Engelhardt
Assist · Derry Lionel Scherhant · 1–0
⚽
23'
Igor Matanovic
Assist · Matthias Ginter · 2–0
⚽
29'
45'
⇄
Shuto Machino ↓ · Hugo Bolin ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
52'
▮
Tim Kleindienst
Red Card
67'
⇄
Wael Mohya ↓ · Robin Hack ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
Isac Lidberg ↓ · Franck Honorat ↑
Substitution 3
Vincenzo Grifo ↓ · Derry Lionel Scherhant ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
Igor Matanovic
Assist · Jordy Makengo · 3–0
⚽
77'
Lucas Höler ↓ · Igor Matanovic ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
Keisuke Goto ↓ · Yuito Suzuki ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
Yannick Engelhardt
Assist · Matthias Ginter · 4–0
⚽
79'
Cyriaque Irié ↓ · Jan-Niklas Beste ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
82'
Lukas Kübler ↓ · Philipp Treu ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
83'
⇄
mathieu nguefack ↓ · Kevin Stöger ↑
Substitution 4
Maximilian Eggestein
5–0
⚽
86'
Cyriaque Irié
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
90+2'
▮
Joe Scally
Yellow Card
Full-time · 5 – 0

Match recap

SC Freiburg beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 5, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Yannick Engelhardt (23'), Igor Matanovic (29'), Igor Matanovic (77'), Yannick Engelhardt (79'), Maximilian Eggestein (86'). Tim Kleindienst was sent off in the 52' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.29 units (Brier 0.161).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.39 2.50 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.28 2.35 43% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.10 2.12 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.47 1.47 60% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Home Win 1.75 1.69 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 2.30 36% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.65 1.65 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 1.19 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.56 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.20 4.65 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.73 5.00 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.17 1.14 80% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Draw 3.90 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.75 16.95 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.26 3.41 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.34 1.28 53% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.29u −25% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
FRE – MOE @ 1.65
+2.4%
Edge
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