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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — FSV Mainz 05

Predictions by Market: Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L L W W
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 13:30
0:5
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D W L W L Away · last 5
Referee T. Reichel

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAM
38%
Best 3.02
Draw
26%
Best 3.75
Away Win · MAI
36%
Best 2.52
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.36
Fair odds
1.32
book 1.36 · +3.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 76% · EV +3.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.5%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 38.2%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 52%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.9%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
HAM – MAI @ 1.36
+3.3%
Edge
Forecast →