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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Köln

Predictions by Market: VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home · last 5 L W L L W
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 18:30
4:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee C. Dingert

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · STU
57%
Best 1.49
Draw
21%
Best 5.33
Away Win · KOL
22%
Best 6.30
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.63
Fair odds
2.33
book 2.63 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (78%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.3%
Odds 5.63
Show model details
Implied probability 17.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 6.20
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
STU – KOL @ 2.63
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →