RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.43 — +7.0% better than the market.

RB Leipzig hosts Borussia Mönchengladbach in a Bundesliga clash where home momentum and attacking intent could shape the outcome. The market suggests a lively match with a leaning towards over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open pace and offensive opportunities. Leipzig’s home edge and pressing style may challenge Gladbach’s defense, while both sides look capable of scoring, making a BTTS scenario plausible.

Home side’s pressing and set-piece threat
Potential for open, attacking play
Both teams likely to find the net

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.43 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 41% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LEI 4-3-3 · MOE 4-2-3-1

LEI · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · MOE

7 Nusa ⚽

Subs used · LEI

64'

Nkunku ↑ ·

Gomis ↓

73'

Bakayoko ↑ ·

Gruda ↓

73'

Henrichs ↑ ·

Baku ↓

83'

Vermeeren ↑ ·

Reitz ↓

83'

Harder ↑ ·

Banzuzi ↓

Subs used · MOE

64'

Herold ↑ ·

Mohya ↓

64'

Lidberg ↑ ·

Hack ↓

64'

Honorat ↑ ·

Stoger ↓

64'

Nguefack ↑ ·

Ullrich ↓

76'

Machino ↑ ·

Kleindienst ↓

Statistics

LEI 3 – 0 MOE

47%

Possession (%)

53%

3.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 3 – 0

R. Baku

Assist · T. Gomis · 1–0

⚽

25'

Half-time · 1 – 0

A. Nusa

Assist · T. Gomis · 2–0

⚽

49'

64'

⇄

D. Herold ↓ · W. Mohya ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

I. Lidberg ↓ · R. Hack ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

F. Honorat ↓ · K. Stoger ↑

Substitution 3

64'

⇄

M. Nguefack ↓ · L. Ullrich ↑

Substitution 4

C. Nkunku ↓ · T. Gomis ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

R. Reitz

Assist · C. Nkunku · 3–0

⚽

66'

A. Nusa

Yellow Card

▮

72'

J. Bakayoko ↓ · B. Gruda ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

B. Henrichs ↓ · R. Baku ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

76'

⇄

S. Machino ↓ · T. Kleindienst ↑

Substitution 5

A. Vermeeren ↓ · R. Reitz ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

C. Harder ↓ · E. Banzuzi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.95 to 0.91. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 14, 11 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

On the scoresheet: R. Baku (25'), A. Nusa (49'), R. Reitz (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.41 units (Brier 0.131).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.43	2.38	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.75	1.73	55%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.16	2.10	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.75	2.75	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	2.39	39%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.42	1.43	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	1.54	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.55	1.56	56%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Away Win	5.50	5.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.47	4.41	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.50	18.87	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.12	1.10	83%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.35	5.49	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.06	3.89	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	1.15	78%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	1.22	56%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.41u	−32% ROI

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled