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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV

Preview Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L W W D Away · last 5
Referee F. Zwayer
Home Win · DOR
63%
Best 1.34
Draw
19%
Best 5.89
Away Win · HAM
18%
Best 9.95

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 64% probability.

Also rated highly: Borussia Dortmund to win 63%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund are expected to hold a clear advantage at home despite limited recent form data. The odds suggest a lively match with a tendency towards goals, hinting at Dortmund's attacking edge against Hamburger SV's defense. The home side's familiarity with their pitch and likely pressing intensity could unsettle the visitors early on.

  • Home momentum and attacking potential
  • Visitors facing a compact, high-tempo challenge
  • Odds favoring an open game with multiple goals

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 63% Borussia Dortmund win
Over/Under 2.5 64% Over 2.5
BTTS 52% Yes
Double Chance 82% 1X
  • 1X2 Borussia Dortmund win 63%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64%
  • BTTS Yes 52%
  • Double Chance 1X 82%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Borussia Dortmund
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.88 / 1.30
Hamburger SV
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 1.51

🎯 Scenario insights

Borussia Dortmund wins when scoring first
100%
Hamburger SV wins when scoring first
33%
Borussia Dortmund BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Hamburger SV BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Hamburger SV Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Borussia Dortmund comeback rate · last 10
33%
Hamburger SV comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Borussia Dortmund · last 10 at home

0–15 22%
16–30 4%
31–45 22%
46–60 7%
61–75 15%
76–90 30%

Hamburger SV · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 8%
31–45 33%
46–60 33%
61–75 17%
76–90 8%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.