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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — Werder Bremen

Predictions by Market: SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W W W D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 13:30
4:1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
L W D W D Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRE
49%
Best 1.89
Draw
26%
Best 3.81
Away Win · WER
26%
Best 4.47
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.86
book 4.33 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (49%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 25.9%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.54
Show model details
Implied probability 28.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 51%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FRE – WER @ 4.33
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →