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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W D W W D
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 18:30
5:1
Full-time
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L W L L W Away · last 5
Referee Sören Storks, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
66%
Best 1.26
Draw
17%
Best 7.60
Away Win · STU
18%
Best 12.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.50
Fair odds
5.95
book 6.50 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (66%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 17.5%
Odds 8.75
Show model details
Implied probability 11.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 16.8%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 9.5%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 17.5%
Odds 6.08
Show model details
Implied probability 16.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 34.4%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 93%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BAY – STU @ 6.50
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →