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Home › Spain › La Liga › Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Osasuna
Osasuna
Home · last 5 W L L L D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 12:00
1:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
L W L W D Away · last 5
Estadio El Sadar · Pamplona Referee Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 65% · book 1.61 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.73 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.91 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.61 — +4.6% better than the market.

Osasuna hosts Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Rayo's stronger overall profile and better defensive solidity contrast with Osasuna's recent mixed form and defensive struggles. However, Osasuna's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game hint at a competitive match.

  • Rayo's defensive resilience challenges Osasuna's attack.
  • Osasuna's home edge may keep the game tight.
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely.

The tactical battle will focus on Osasuna trying to break down a compact Rayo defense while managing their own defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a cautious start with chances on set pieces and counterattacks shaping the outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.61 ✓ Cashed
AI 65% Implied 62% +0.61u
+61%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OSA 4-5-1 · RAY 4-3-3
Subs used · OSA
56' Moro ↑ · Alfonso ↓
56' Bretones ↑ · Rico ↓
69' Torró ↑ · Moncayola ↓
69' Dubasin ↑ · García ↓
73' García ↑ · Santos ↓
Subs used · RAY
60' Díaz ↑ · Valentín ↓
71' Tsitaishvili ↑ · Frutos ↓
71' Zurawski ↑ · Camello ↓
87' Bouare ↑ · López ↓
87' Balliu ↑ · García ↓

Statistics

OSA 1 – 1 RAY
37%
Possession (%)
63%
10
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
9
9
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
Ante Budimir
1–0
⚽
16'
Asier Osambela
Yellow Card
▮
21'
24'
▮
Pathé Ciss
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
50'
⚽
Sergio Camello
Assist · Adrià Pedrosa · 1–1
Raul Moro ↓ · Enrique Barja Alfonso ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
56'
Abel Bretones ↓ · Diego Rico ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
60'
⇄
Pedro Díaz ↓ · Óscar Valentín ↑
Substitution 1
Jon Moncayola
Yellow Card
▮
67'
Lucas Torró ↓ · Jon Moncayola ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
Jonathan Dubasin ↓ · Rubén García ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
69'
71'
⇄
Georgiy Tsitaishvili ↓ · Jorge De Frutos ↑
Substitution 2
71'
⇄
Alexandre Zurawski ↓ · Sergio Camello ↑
Substitution 3
Raul García ↓ · Unai Santos ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
73'
Sergio Herrera
Yellow Card
▮
77'
87'
⇄
Gnangoro Bouare ↓ · Unai López ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
Ivan Balliu ↓ · Álvaro García ↑
Substitution 5
90+6'
▮
Alexandre Zurawski
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ante Budimir (16'), Sergio Camello (50').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.55 units (Brier 0.148).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.61 1.52 65% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.73 1.87 58% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 1.98 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 1.77 48% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.03 2.03 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 2.08 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.59 2.59 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.81 1.87 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.25 2.80 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.34 1.38 62% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.22 3.40 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 1.28 78% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.05 89% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 1.30 68% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.32 3.28 27% Cashed +2.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.66 3.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.55u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
OSA – RAY @ 1.61
+4.6%
Edge
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