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Home › Spain › La Liga › Levante — Athletic Club

Prediction: Levante vs Athletic Club, October 21

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Levante
Levante
Home · last 5 W D L L D
Kick-off
Wed 21 Oct · 18:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
L W W D D Away · last 5
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia · Valencia Referee A. Quintero

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEV
36%
Best 3.41
Draw
26%
Best 3.66
Away Win · BIL
38%
Best 2.23

Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 60%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Levante show stronger recent form and home momentum, holding an edge in points per game over the last five matches. Their ability to create chances suggests a lively attacking approach against Athletic Club's less consistent defense. The balanced odds on over 2.5 goals hint at a moderately open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

  • Levante's home rhythm and pressing edge
  • Athletic's defensive lapses under pressure
  • Potential for a dynamic, goal-involved contest

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 38% Athletic Club win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Over 2.5
BTTS 60% Yes
Double Chance 64% X2
  • 1X2 Athletic Club win 38%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
  • BTTS Yes 60%
  • Double Chance X2 64%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Levante
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 11 / 12
Avg goals / match 4.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 2.50 / 2.26
Athletic Club
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.43 / 2.23

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.57
Goals Scored
1.17
2.14
Goals Conceded
1
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
4.29
Shots on Target
4.67
3.29
Corners
6
42.29
Possession (%)
52.17
95.26
Efficiency index
90.29
93.63
Adjusted index
89.06
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
85
OFF · home
35
5
DEF · home
100
15
OFF · away
60
50
DEF · away
20
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Levante wins when scoring first
100%
①
Athletic Club wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Levante BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Athletic Club BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Levante Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Athletic Club Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
Levante comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Athletic Club comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Levante · last 10 at home

0–15 4%
16–30 8%
31–45 19%
46–60 15%
61–75 4%
76–90 50%

Athletic Club · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 23%
31–45 8%
46–60 23%
61–75 15%
76–90 31%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Brugui
LEV · Midfielder
3 G · 0.61 g/90
E. Bardeli
LEV · Midfielder
1 G · 0.45 g/90
Robert Navarro
BIL · Midfielder
2 G · 0.74 g/90
Aitor Paredes
BIL · Defender
1 G