Alaves vs Osasuna 5:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.00 — +14.4% better than the market.

Alaves show strong home momentum with a perfect recent points tally, contrasting Osasuna's slower start. The home side's form edge and compact defensive setup could challenge Osasuna's higher expected goals, hinting at a tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, supported by historical draws and goal exchanges.

Alaves' home confidence and form advantage
Osasuna's superior attacking threat
Balanced head-to-head suggesting tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALA 4-4-2 · OSA 4-4-2

ALA · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · OSA

9 Díaz ⚽

Subs used · ALA

71'

Mañas ↑ ·

Díaz ↓

71'

Suárez ↑ ·

Aleñá ↓

71'

Enriquez ↑ ·

Rebbach ↓

80'

Ibarzábal ↑ ·

Otto ↓

85'

Rodríguez ↑ ·

Boyé ↓

Subs used · OSA

60'

Dubasin ↑ ·

García ↓

60'

Yeboah ↑ ·

Boyomo ↓

60'

Moro ↑ ·

Gómez ↓

85'

Osambela ↑ ·

Arguibide ↓

Statistics

ALA 5 – 2 OSA

51%

Possession (%)

49%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 5 – 2

Lucas Boyé

Assist · Mariano Díaz · 1–0

⚽

27'

Mariano Díaz

Assist · Antonio Sivera · 2–0

⚽

36'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⚽

Ante Budimir

Assist · Moi Gómez · 2–1

Lucas Boyé

Assist · Carles Aleñá · 3–1

⚽

51'

58'

▮

Abel Bretones

Yellow Card

60'

⇄

Jonathan Dubasin ↓ · Rubén García ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

Rockson Yeboah ↓ · Enzo Boyomo ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

Raul Moro ↓ · Moi Gómez ↑

Substitution 3

Abderrahmane Rebbach

Yellow Card

▮

62'

64'

⚽

Ante Budimir (P)

Penalty · 3–2

Lucas Boyé

Assist · Angel Pérez Hidalgo · 4–2

⚽

68'

Aitor Mañas ↓ · Mariano Díaz ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

Denis Suárez ↓ · Carles Aleñá ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

Youssef Enriquez ↓ · Abderrahmane Rebbach ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

Xanet Oláiz Ibarzábal ↓ · Jonny Otto ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

84'

▮

Rockson Yeboah

Yellow Card

Miguel Rodríguez ↓ · Lucas Boyé ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

⇄

Asier Osambela ↓ · Íñigo Arguibide ↑

Substitution 4

Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras

Assist · Angel Pérez Hidalgo · 5–2

⚽

90'

Full-time · 5 – 2

Match recap

Alaves beat Osasuna 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Lucas Boyé (27'), Mariano Díaz (36'), Ante Budimir (46'), Lucas Boyé (51'), Ante Budimir (64'), Lucas Boyé (68'), Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.47 units (Brier 0.185).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.49	2.50	52%	Cashed	+1.49	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.00	2.02	57%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.23	2.27	43%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.66	1.61	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	1.74	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.40	2.40	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.62	1.62	43%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.67	2.63	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.44	1.44	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.40	4.50	34%	Cashed	+3.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	1.30	71%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.10	3.10	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.57	1.53	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.40	3.45	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.19	1.17	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	7.00	6.99	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.47u	−3% ROI

Alaves vs Osasuna 5:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled