🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 60% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 60%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Sevilla enters this La Liga clash with clear home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record and a higher points-per-game rate than Atletico Madrid. Their attacking edge and solid form suggest they can press effectively against Atletico’s defense. The balanced odds on over 2.5 goals hint at an open game with chances for both sides.
- Sevilla’s home confidence and recent wins
- Atletico’s resilience but lower recent form
- Potential for a lively, goal-filled encounter
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 39% | Atletico Madrid win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 60% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 60% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 66% | X2 |
- 1X2 Atletico Madrid win 39%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
- BTTS Yes 60%
- Double Chance X2 66%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 3.05 ↑ 3.53 (+16%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sevilla
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.8
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.02 / 1.33
Atletico Madrid
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
8 / 8
Avg goals / match
3.2
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.25 / 2.11
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Sevilla wins when scoring first
75%
①
Atletico Madrid wins when scoring first
80%
⚽
Sevilla BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Atletico Madrid BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Sevilla Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Atletico Madrid Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Sevilla comeback rate · last 10
33%
↩
Atletico Madrid comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Sevilla · last 10 at home
0–15
17%
16–30
0%
31–45
25%
46–60
25%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
Atletico Madrid · last 10 away
0–15
17%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
8%
61–75
25%
76–90
17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
